Fans have been circling this batch of games since the 2018

#1 von panxing18 , 01.02.2019 03:21

On paper Womens Muhammad Wilkerson Jersey , the Green Bay Packers appear to have one of the toughest five-week stretches of football ahead of them in recent memory. schedule release in April, both due to the perceived strength of the opponents and the difficulty of facing four road games in that span.But we got to thinking, is it really as tough a stretch as everyone assumes? Let’s look at some of the numbers through seven weeks of the 2018 season to find out.RecordsThe first and most obvious way of measuring strength of schedule is the combined records of one’s opponents. And in this regard, this is indeed a challenging stretch. The next five opponents have combined records of 23-10-1, with four out of the five teams sitting above .500 after week seven and that fifth (the Seahawks) being even at 3-3. Yikes.Overall DVOAOf course, a team’s win/loss record, especially in the first seven weeks of the season, can be deceiving. So we’ll look at the opponents’ overall DVOA rankings from Football Outsiders to learn a little more about them.Every one of these teams sits in the top half of the league in overall team DVOA, with three in the top ten and four in the top 11. The lowest-ranked team may actually surprise you.@ Rams (7-0): 2nd overall@ Patriots (5-2): 8thvs. Dolphins (4-3): 11th@ Seahawks (3-3): 10th@ Vikings (4-2-1): 16thThat is indeed a tough slog and largely, DVOA seems to hold up pretty well with the records. Meanwhile, the Packers currently sit 15th in overall DVOA, with the sixth-ranked offense, 24th-ranked defense, and 29th-ranked special teams.Opposing OffensesPredictably, the opposing offenses are also impressive, though the matchups seem to get a little less daunting every week:Opponents’ OffensesOpponentOverallPassingRushingOpponentOverallPassingRushingThe Packers’ defense, meanwhile, sit back near the bottom of the pack in DVOA thanks to an ugly performance before the bye against the 49ers and their 26th-ranked offense. The Packers sit in 24th place overall, ranking 15th against the pass and 29th against the run. They also have the 30th ranking in variance, which signifies that they are wildly inconsistent from week to week.The biggest concern for the pass defense Womens Kentrell Brice Jersey , however, is the ability to handle an opposing team’s #1 receiver. The Packers rank 29th against #1s, but the rankings are much better against other wideouts, coming in 16th against #2s, 13th against all other receivers, and 11th against both tight ends and running backs.Not surprisingly, where the Packers are most susceptible to big plays is down the middle (ranking 23rd) and deep (27th), confirming that the safety play is indeed a problem. The left side of the defense — where the rookies and Kevin King tend to play — has been great with a third-place ranking, while Tramon Williams’ right side is 18th. One more note: the Packers rank 10th in defending short passes, but just 27th against deep balls.Opposing DefensesGiven the numbers above, the Packers will likely need to win these games by scoring a lot of points rather than on the strength of their own defense. The good news is that there are opportunities to do so; the team faces just two top-ten defenses in this stretch, both of which earn those rankings on the strength of good pass defenses:Opposing DefensesOpponentOverallPassingRushingOpponentOverallPassingRushingThe Packers, meanwhile, sit in sixth place overall on offense, with the passing game ranking tenth and the run game fifth.There are some specific areas to attack in this stretch, however. The Rams, for example, are good against WR1s, average against WR2s, and bad against other receivers Youth Josh Jackson Jersey , so Geronimo Allison and the rookies could feast a bit this week. LA also has a stark split between success on the right and left sides, ranking 3rd on passes to the right side of the defense but 26th to the left.In fact, all of these opponents have a big right/left split. The Patriots rank 4th and 24th on the right and left sides, respectively; Miami is 25th and 13th, the Seahawks are 2nd and 25th, and the Vikings are 12th and 29th. In other words, the Packers should be able to know exactly which sides of the field are exploitable and should line up their receiving corps accordingly.One final note on the defenses is that although they have all rank in the top half of the league, they also all sit at or below league-average in variance, indicating that they too are inconsistent. The Rams, Seahawks, and Vikings are among the ten most inconsistent teams (Vikings are actually second), while the Patriots and Dolphins are around average.Thus, the Packers should find themselves with matchups to take advantage of throughout this stretch when they have the football. The biggest questions will likely be whether the team can execute better in the red zone and if they can avoid getting down early on defense, which has thrown their offensive gameplan out of whack.Home/Road GamesThe fact that four of these games are on the road only adds to the challenge in this stretch, however. Furthermore, the home/road splits for these opponents this season make the games look that much more daunting, even if the average home-field advantage in the NFL is assumed to be just three points. Here are the home records for the four teams the Packers will travel to in this stretch over the past two years, including playoff games:Rams: 3-0 in 2018, 4-5 in 2017Patriots: 4-0 in 2018, 8-2 in 2017Seahawks: 1-1 in 2018 Youth Jamaal Williams Jersey , 4-4 in 2017Vikings: 2-1 in 2018, 8-1 in 2018Now granted, all of these teams were above .500 last year. But it’s a bit surprising to see that both the Rams and Seahawks went 4-4 at home a year ago in the regular season.One other note: the Dolphins are 1-2 on the road this season, and they have committed at least two turnovers in each of those games. They also have failed to reach 300 yards of offense in any of those contests and average just 14.7 points per game.Still, It’s difficult to read much of anything into these numbers though, particularly in such a small sample size.Conclusions?Yes, this stretch will indeed be a difficult one; for the most part, these teams’ records match up pretty well with their overall DVOA rankings. The road opponents’ records at home are mixed over the past two years, but that doesn’t really tell us much. However, there will be opportunities for Aaron Rodgers and the offense to air out the football, particularly if they can establish an effective play-action game. If the defense can at least be moderately effective early in games and avoid digging the team an early hole, the Packers should be very much in contention in every game over this stretch. Well, this isn’t where the Packers wanted to be when the season started, but here we are. At 3-4-1, the Packers haven’t only been frustrating on the gridiron, but in fantasy football matchups as well. Outside of Davante Adams, it’s tough to get any consistent points out of these guys.Many have pointed to Mike McCarthy (myself included) at times for the stale offense and having the weapons. They have the quarterback, the running back and a stud wide receiver, so they should be able to move the ball effectively. It’s about to be Week 10 and eventually your identity for the season is just already set. The fantasy playoff stretch is around the corner so let’s take a close look at who’s trending up and who’s trending down after Week 9.Stock Up: Marquez Valdes-Scantling, WRMVS only brought in three catches Youth Clay Matthews Jersey , but boy were they exciting to behold. Including a catch where he climbed the ladder on a 3rd and 1 play that felt like a sneak peek of things to come. His three catches were good for 101 yards and while he didn’t find the end zone, it was nice to see him take a step to grab the WR3 spot and possibly become the number two option. His six targets were a great indicator for the future and Geronimo Allison is likely taking a trip to injured reserve. The Packers have been finding themselves down in a lot of games recently, so the passing opportunities could be available. Jimmy Graham, TEThere weren’t a lot of bright spots through this game, but watching Graham find the end zone was good to see. Bringing in four catches for 55 yards, Graham was used as the big target the Packers envisioned he could be. Where Graham has struggled in the offense is making plays after the original play breaks down. Aaron Rodgers’ bread-and-butter is making plays after all the reads have been exhausted. Davante Adams looks like the only one who has the knack for making those plays, which does come with time and reps alongside Rodgers. Keep an eye out to see if Graham puts in those effort plays after he’s done running his route or is double-teamed. Stock DownAaron Rodgers, QBGot to call it when you see it. What was expected as a firework battle between two Hall of Fake quarterbacks, turned into a battle of other players failing to show up in prime time. Rodgers was 24-for-43, but it’s disconcerting watching him throw the ball out-of-bounds when no one can get open. And far too often, no one can get open. If he had three Davante Adams to throw to, then that’d be great! But until the offense becomes a little more imaginative, it’s going to feel like Rodgers is a tiger locked in a zoo. Randall Cobb, WRFor those hoping Cobb would come back with some flex value, they were largely disappointed. Cobb looks like he’s athletic enough, but the ridiculous ways in which the Packers try to get the ball in his hands isn’t going to amount to a lot of production. He had five catches for 24 yards on six targets. His Week 1 game against the Bears was definitely the outlier and the rookie wide outs are starting to earn targets that would normally be reserved for the veteran.

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While there wasn’t a whole lot of offensive scoring, there was
rolling the dice on Zay Jones Josh Allen is the Buffalo Bills’ leading fantasy football scorer in 2018

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